← Board/player transfer · updated 04 Sept 2026· graded collapsed
Johan Manzambi
Aston Villa → Newcastle United
0%Speculative
Probability
0%
Viability
59%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium
Why this score?
Probability53 → 0|Viability59 → 5904 Sept 2026
Window close: the player completed a move to a different club. Graded collapsed.
Score movement
- 04 Sept 202653 → 0Window close: the player completed a move to a different club. Graded collapsed.
- 06 Aug 202623 → 53Multiple independent sources agree
- 31 Jul 202610 → 23Multiple independent sources agree · The player is being pursued by more than one club
- 19 Jul 202623 → 10The player is being pursued by more than one club
- 17 Jul 2026— → 23The player is being pursued by more than one club
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+17 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+11 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+1 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+5 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+6 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+2 pts
Contract situationDerived×0.06
+2 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.00
+0 pts
Probability22%
Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- CM, ST
- Age
- 20
- Nationality
- Switzerland
- Contract until
- 30 Jun 2030
- Market value
- €30m
- Preferred foot
- right
Buying club · Newcastle United
- Stated needs
- RW, CB
- Budget (est.)
- €80m
- Wage headroom
- 50/100
- PSR pressure
- 75/100
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Newcastle United’s Possible XI →Evidence timeline
- 03 Jul 2026Tier 3Chronicle Livepolled
Newcastle United face Johan Manzambi transfer fear as rivals wait to hijack £42m deal
- 12 Jul 2026Tier 4The Magpolled
Johan Manzambi now free to join Newcastle United
- 23 Jul 2026Tier 4Shields Gazettepolled
Not just Johan Manzambi - Premier League rival set to pip Newcastle United to second £50m star