← Board/player transfer · updated 26 Jul 2026
Kevin Trapp
Paris FC → Arsenal
44%Active interest
Probability
44%
Viability
62%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium
Why this score?
Probability37 → 44|Viability62 → 6226 Jul 2026
- ▪A formal bid has been reported
Score movement
- 26 Jul 202637 → 44A formal bid has been reported
- 26 Jul 2026— → 37Rumour created from first claim
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+11 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+9 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+5 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+6 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Probability44%
Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- GK
- Age
- 36
- Nationality
- Germany
- Contract until
- 30 Jun 2028
- Market value
- €2m
- Preferred foot
- right
Buying club · Arsenal
- Stated needs
- ST, CF, CDM
- Budget (est.)
- €120m
- Wage headroom
- 65/100
- PSR pressure
- 35/100
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Arsenal’s Possible XI →Evidence timeline
- 26 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled
Transfer news LIVE: Vini Jr to Arsenal latest, Man Utd's Manu Kone move, Yan Diomande deal - The Mirror
- 26 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled
Real Madrid tell Arsenal how much to pay for Vini Jr as Diomande move gets 'green light' - Football365
- 26 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled
Vini Jr warned of major issue despite Arsenal deal making sense for all parties - talkSPORT