← Board/player transfer · updated 24 Jul 2026

Dominik Szoboszlai

Liverpool Real Madrid

40%Possible
Probability
40%
Viability
58%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium

Why this score?

Probability40|Viability5824 Jul 2026

Rumour created from first claim

Score movement

Not enough score events to chart yet — movement appears here as evidence accrues.

  1. 24 Jul 202640Rumour created from first claim

How the number is built

Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+11 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+6 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+5 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+5 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Probability40%

Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.

Player

Position
CM, CAM, RW
Age
25
Nationality
Hungary
Contract until
30 Jun 2028
Market value
€85m
Preferred foot
right

Buying club · Real Madrid

Stated needs
Budget (est.)
Wage headroom
PSR pressure

Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.

See Real Madrid’s Possible XI →

Evidence timeline

  1. 21 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled

    Dominik Szoboszlai's agent responds to Real Madrid rumors after 'complicated' Liverpool talks - Liverpool.com

    talks · active talkstone: speculativevia rule-based:v1source
Dominik Szoboszlai to Real Madrid — 40% likely · TransferSignal