← Board/player transfer · updated 02 Aug 2026
Giorgio Scalvini
Atalanta → Chelsea
26%Possible
Probability
26%
Viability
58%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium
Why this score?
Probability— → 26|Viability— → 5802 Aug 2026
- ▪The player is being pursued by more than one club
Score movement
Not enough score events to chart yet — movement appears here as evidence accrues.
- 02 Aug 2026— → 26The player is being pursued by more than one club
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+11 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+1 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+5 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+5 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Competing destinations−9 pts
Probability26%
Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- CB
- Age
- 22
- Nationality
- Italy
- Contract until
- 30 Jun 2028
- Market value
- €45m
- Preferred foot
- right
Buying club · Chelsea
- Stated needs
- ST, GK
- Budget (est.)
- €100m
- Wage headroom
- 55/100
- PSR pressure
- 70/100
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Chelsea’s Possible XI →Competing for Giorgio Scalvini
The player is credibly linked to more than one club. These are mutually exclusive outcomes — he can sign for only one — so each probability carries a competing-destinations penalty. They are not normalised to sum to 100.
- Chelsea this rumour26%
- Newcastle Unitedearly interest36%
Evidence timeline
- 01 Aug 2026Tier 4The Sunpolled
Chelsea & Spurs join Newcastle in race for highly-rated Giorgio Scalvini, 22