← Board/player transfer · updated 27 Jul 2026
Yan Diomande
RB Leipzig → Real Madrid
Why this score?
Probability20 → 25|Viability55 → 5525 Jul 2026
- ▪An agreement is reported to be close
- ▪A formal bid has been reported
- ▪The player is being pursued by more than one club
Score movement
- 25 Jul 202620 → 25An agreement is reported to be close · A formal bid has been reported · The player is being pursued by more than one club
- 25 Jul 2026— → 20A formal bid has been reported · The player is being pursued by more than one club
How the number is built
Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- RW, LW, ST
- Age
- 19
- Nationality
- Ivory Coast
- Contract until
- 30 Jun 2030
- Market value
- €45m
- Preferred foot
- right
Buying club · Real Madrid
- Stated needs
- —
- Budget (est.)
- —
- Wage headroom
- —
- PSR pressure
- —
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Real Madrid’s Possible XI →Competing for Yan Diomande
The player is credibly linked to more than one club. These are mutually exclusive outcomes — he can sign for only one — so each probability carries a competing-destinations penalty. They are not normalised to sum to 100.
- Real Madrid this rumour25%
- Arsenalnear complete27%
Evidence timeline
- 24 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled
Yan Diomande transfer news: Real Madrid have £85m bid rejected for RB Leipzig winger - Sky Sports
- 25 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled
Jose Mourinho stance on Yan Diomande transfer as Real Madrid eyes blockbuster double swoop - Liverpool.com
- 25 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled
Real Madrid signing Yan Diomande could have wider implications for Liverpool transfer plans - Yahoo Sports UK
- 26 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled
Real Madrid agrees Yan Diomande transfer deal after Liverpool interest and PSG delay - Liverpool.com