← Board/player transfer · updated 27 Jul 2026

Conor Bradley

Liverpool Newcastle United

31%Possible
Probability
31%
Viability
62%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium

Why this score?

Probability31|Viability6227 Jul 2026

  • This fills a stated squad need of the buying club
  • The player is being pursued by more than one club

Score movement

Not enough score events to chart yet — movement appears here as evidence accrues.

  1. 27 Jul 202631This fills a stated squad need of the buying club · The player is being pursued by more than one club

How the number is built

Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+11 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+1 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+10 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+5 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Competing destinations9 pts
Probability31%

Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.

Player

Position
RB, CB
Age
23
Nationality
United Kingdom
Contract until
30 Jun 2029
Market value
€30m
Preferred foot
right

Buying club · Newcastle United

Stated needs
RW, CB
Budget (est.)
€80m
Wage headroom
50/100
PSR pressure
75/100

Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.

See Newcastle United’s Possible XI →

Competing for Conor Bradley

The player is credibly linked to more than one club. These are mutually exclusive outcomes — he can sign for only one — so each probability carries a competing-destinations penalty. They are not normalised to sum to 100.

Evidence timeline

  1. 27 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled

    Newcastle United sign midfielder Bradley - WSL Full-Time

    monitoring · speculativetone: cautiousvia rule-based:v1source
  2. 27 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled

    Newcastle United sign midfielder Bradley - Yahoo Sports

    monitoring · speculativetone: cautiousvia rule-based:v1source