TransferSignal

← Board/player transfer · updated 23 Jul 2026

Ayyoub Bouaddi

Lille OSC → Liverpool

21%Possible
Probability
21%
Viability
60%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Low

Why this score?

Probability— → 21|Viability— → 6023 Jul 2026

  • ▪The player is being pursued by more than one club

Score movement

Not enough score events to chart yet — movement appears here as evidence accrues.

  1. 23 Jul 2026— → 21The player is being pursued by more than one club

How the number is built

Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+11 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+9 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+5 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+7 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Competing destinations−23 pts
Probability21%

Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.

Player

Position
CM
Age
18
Nationality
France
Contract until
30 Jun 2029
Market value
€40m
Preferred foot
right

Buying club · Liverpool

Stated needs
CB, ST
Budget (est.)
€130m
Wage headroom
70/100
PSR pressure
25/100

Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.

See Liverpool’s Possible XI →

Competing for Ayyoub Bouaddi

The player is credibly linked to more than one club. These are mutually exclusive outcomes — he can sign for only one — so each probability carries a competing-destinations penalty. They are not normalised to sum to 100.

Evidence timeline

  1. 23 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled

    Liverpool transfer news as Alex Scott bid rejected and Ayyoub Bouaddi deal 'close' - Liverpool.com

    unknown · advancedtone: assertivevia llm:llama-3.3-70b-versatilesource