← Board/player transfer · updated 22 Jul 2026
Alex Scott
Bournemouth → Chelsea
50%Active interest
Probability
50%
Viability
66%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium
Why this score?
Probability46 → 50|Viability66 → 6622 Jul 2026
- ▪A formal bid has been reported
- ▪Multiple independent sources agree
- ▪The player's preference is reported to favour the move
- ▪The player is being pursued by more than one club
Score movement
- 22 Jul 202646 → 50A formal bid has been reported · Multiple independent sources agree · The player's preference is reported to favour the move · The player is being pursued by more than one club
- 21 Jul 2026— → 46A formal bid has been reported · The player's preference is reported to favour the move · The player is being pursued by more than one club
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+22 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+8 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+9 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+5 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+7 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+6 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Competing destinations−12 pts
Probability50%
Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- CM
- Age
- 22
- Nationality
- England
- Contract until
- 30 Jun 2028
- Market value
- €30m
- Preferred foot
- right
Buying club · Chelsea
- Stated needs
- ST, GK
- Budget (est.)
- €100m
- Wage headroom
- 55/100
- PSR pressure
- 70/100
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Chelsea’s Possible XI →Competing for Alex Scott
The player is credibly linked to more than one club. These are mutually exclusive outcomes — he can sign for only one — so each probability carries a competing-destinations penalty. They are not normalised to sum to 100.
- Chelsea this rumour50%
- Arsenalearly interest17%
- Liverpoolearly interest16%
Evidence timeline
- 21 Jul 2026Tier 2BBC Sportpolled
Bournemouth reject £64m bid from Chelsea for Scott
- 22 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled
Chelsea given Alex Scott transfer boost amid Arsenal and Man Utd battle - Football London