← Board/player transfer · updated 22 Jul 2026
Alex Scott
Bournemouth → Arsenal
17%Speculative
Probability
17%
Viability
62%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium
Why this score?
Probability30 → 17|Viability62 → 6221 Jul 2026
- ▪The player is being pursued by more than one club
Score movement
- 21 Jul 202630 → 17The player is being pursued by more than one club
- 21 Jul 202639 → 30The player is being pursued by more than one club
- 21 Jul 2026— → 39Rumour created from first claim
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+11 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+4 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+5 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+6 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Competing destinations−22 pts
Probability17%
Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- CM
- Age
- 22
- Nationality
- England
- Contract until
- 30 Jun 2028
- Market value
- €30m
- Preferred foot
- right
Buying club · Arsenal
- Stated needs
- ST, CF, CDM
- Budget (est.)
- €120m
- Wage headroom
- 65/100
- PSR pressure
- 35/100
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Arsenal’s Possible XI →Competing for Alex Scott
The player is credibly linked to more than one club. These are mutually exclusive outcomes — he can sign for only one — so each probability carries a competing-destinations penalty. They are not normalised to sum to 100.
- Arsenal this rumour17%
- Chelseaadvanced50%
- Liverpoolearly interest16%
Evidence timeline
- 21 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled
Alex Scott puts his foot down with Man Utd and Arsenal put on red alert for huge transfer - The Mirror